What people believe, and where they said it.
Each claim here is our reading of what somebody said; the words in quotation marks are theirs. What is a korrent?
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29 October
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Dutch bootstrapper who builds and runs his internet startups aloneAdd to listTheir profile on ppll ↗
Their wordsThe level of gaslighting by politicians to always maintain their own interests over the wellbeing of their country is why nobody trusts politicians anymore
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Their wordsThe U.S. is a rich country with relatively poor public-health outcomes given our prosperity.
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Their wordsAI replies are an an existential threat to the future of this platform, because people will simply stop using it if the vast majority of replies are AI bots
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Their wordsThe material living standards of the poorest Americans are shockingly bad given the overall high living standards.
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Their wordsWell, I’m going to make a prediction: This will not happen. Instead, the splurge on AI will run into two walls that will force either postponement or cancellation of many of those announced projects.
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Their wordsAnd it’s now apparent that companies that are spending hundreds of billions on frontier technology are unlikely to generate enough profits to justify their huge outlays.
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Their wordsThese kinds of extreme experiments are why I'm excited about game development as a substrate for exploring the edges of what today's coding agents can do.
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Their wordsCybercriminals are so far slow to adapt to changes and scale up, like everyone else.
28 October
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Their wordsInstead, the average Republican challenger is mostly interested in bootlicking Trump as hard as possible, Stopping The Steal (as if we’re one election integrity law away from the GOP taking California!), and spreading various lies and conspiracy theories.
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Their wordsThe founders will largely run Anthropic indefinitely via their Class F share, and with the employees they can overrule the Long Term Benefit Trust (LTBT).
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Their wordsBut I think the lesson of the past few years is that when Republicans talk about cutting fraud, they don’t have the patience, intelligence, or impulse-control to actually find the real complicated fraud-adjacent things going on, and will instead pillage random government departments in ways that make everything worse off.
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Their wordsI haven’t done an exhaustive study, but my current impression is that GPT-6 Astra isn’t quite there yet. It can absolutely build a game, but its sense of fun doesn’t match that of Opus 5.5. I expect OpenAI will get there by the end of the year.
27 October
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Their wordsI know lots of people love rent control, but it’s really a loser of a policy.
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Their wordsBut whatever it is, the humanities are clearly dying in American academia.
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Their wordsThe battleground expanding late in the race is a hallmark of a wave election.
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Their wordsI never thought that I would have to go back to AJP Taylor to understand the break-up of Ukraine, but in reality the same pattern existed there too and it is not impossible to think that it may spread further East, to the Russian Federation.
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Their wordsAnd gerrymandering by both parties, along with voter self-sorting (cities blue; rural areas red) has reduced the number of competitive districts.
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Post-war Ukraine could potentially resemble South Vietnam with political instability and corruption.
Their wordsA bad version of what could happen to Ukraine is that it looks like South Vietnam: lots of political instability, short-lived government, high levels of corruption, loss of population, and perhaps a general breakdown of representative institutions.
26 October
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A system with essentially no economic regulation and competitive markets would work for health care.
Their wordsA system with essentially no economic regulation, and brutally competitive markets, will work fine, and that includes pre-existing conditions and information asymmetry.
25 October
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Their wordsMarginal tax rates well above a half are deep in the range of undeniable disincentives to work, save, innovate, start and grow businesses, invest in education, and so on.
24 October
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Their wordsCancers are simply too different for any single therapy to work everywhere.
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Their wordsthe more mutations a cancer has, the more opportunities the immune system may have to recognize and attack it.
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Their wordsBut the bosses still do what they always did. They place comfort and convenience over effectiveness.
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Their wordsThe job of the Chief Decision Officer, then, isn't to make decisions. It's to create the conditions for the organization to do a better job of it.
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Their wordstoday agents can access context across workloads with so much ease.
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Their wordsIf you hang out with happy, optimistic, and ambitious people, it'll rub off too.
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Their wordsI dislike how all kinds of websites are simply cut off on the right side of Safari on the outer display.
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Their wordsEspecially since, while China may well be under one-party rule, the competitive intensity in many of its markets is far greater than what we can brag about in the West.
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Their wordsChrome and Mozilla will remove eMudhra as a G1 root, nulling them as a CA.
23 October
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Their wordsAI software moves at bitspeed, but AI hardware only moves at atomspeed: you can't copy-paste a robotaxi; somebody has to build each one.
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Their wordsTelling users to verify everything dumps a fresh research project on people who came to the AI to save work.
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Their wordsWhile crypto used to be more of a supplement to the usual shell companies and shadow banks that sanctioned states rely on, now it is core infrastructure.
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Their wordsThe iPhone Duo, despite costing $2,000+ is going to be a massive hit for Apple.
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Their wordsAny company planning such a project needs to believe that its contracts, and the political and social stability required to preserve them, will last for a decade or more.
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Their wordsIt seems depressingly easy to con or bribe a worker into allowing scammers access into a booking system. This sort of "reservation hijacking" is now depressingly common.
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Their wordsit shows how agents may be able to accelerate discovery in vast combinatoric spaces
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Their wordsRuliobiology-and, I believe, biology-have computational irreducibility at their core. So, for example, whereas in physics one can discuss a phenomenon just as something happening "here and now", in ruliobiology-and biology-there is an inevitable dependence on history
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Their wordsexotic forms can actually arise-albeit rarely-without an exotic fitness function, in effect just as examples of "surprises" that can inevitably be created by computational irreducibility.
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Their wordsThere is no preordained dystopia waiting for us at the end of the AI rainbow, nor do we expect to see anything like the post-AGI utopia some boosters have promised.
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Their wordseven at relatively low per capita incomes the emergent cities of the 21st century are not centers of diseases and mass death, as they would have been in Europe in the 19th century. Modern facilities of medicine and rudimentary public health do a remarkable job in enabling huge agglomerations of people, even at low incomes to continue growing.
1027 people · 16352 claims